Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 13.239858 15.437058 17.832547 20.631219 23.803912 27.281483 31.374055
2025-07-20 10.083729 13.212481 16.968848 21.775614 27.724038 34.802090 43.815608
2025-07-27 8.035135 11.556574 16.117533 22.376350 30.647802 41.100593 55.187645
2025-08-03 6.514050 10.154308 15.184265 22.502217 32.709407 46.250161 65.339030
2025-08-10 5.252845 8.818938 14.045568 22.058464 33.779191 49.997557 73.761156
2025-08-17 4.270021 7.687416 12.978636 21.489493 34.485079 53.156882 81.463239
2025-08-24 3.486951 6.713472 11.976823 20.832627 34.903196 55.827043 88.540955
2025-08-31 2.813543 5.790963 10.904030 19.891287 34.725367 57.516115 94.196635
2025-09-07 2.495591 5.437356 10.713129 20.330497 36.711205 62.557468 105.143548
2025-09-14 2.214343 5.099232 10.493966 20.675881 38.540189 67.438991 116.104986
2025-09-21 1.887183 4.608409 9.925509 20.329548 39.148772 70.376255 124.138811
2025-09-28 1.578493 4.095082 9.237957 19.674589 39.137352 72.257392 130.533140
2025-10-05 1.484068 4.055235 9.513851 20.935967 42.784709 80.748402 148.752542
2025-10-12 1.368325 3.950692 9.657434 21.986078 46.195933 89.171454 167.570699
2025-10-19 1.226532 3.752834 9.574277 22.572262 48.791559 96.356856 184.744127
2025-10-26 1.070458 3.481817 9.286431 22.695622 50.498324 102.062225 199.681146
2025-11-02 0.901668 3.133635 8.763847 22.247953 51.024734 105.637502 211.042666
2025-11-09 0.753137 2.801506 8.219836 21.674628 51.224079 108.589857 221.421810
2025-11-16 0.624508 2.490975 7.671896 21.012820 51.159122 111.007854 230.926487
2025-11-23 0.505207 2.171903 7.040814 20.064386 50.376676 111.957532 237.711168
2025-11-30 0.456617 2.076351 6.990559 20.506910 52.649373 119.043447 256.486983
2025-12-07 0.410308 1.975217 6.907256 20.854893 54.735758 125.875673 275.124201
2025-12-14 0.348849 1.796817 6.568629 20.505953 55.201992 129.433210 287.559214